There are three possible changes in agricultural development in the future

Agriculture, rural areas, farmers, agriculture, agriculture and rural issues have been receiving attention from all aspects, especially the development of agriculture. As the primary industry, the economic value it may create is not high, but as the national rice bowl, it must be stabilized. However, under the influence of various factors such as science and technology and population, the development of agriculture has encountered difficulties and faced the problem of upgrading and upgrading. We need to reanalyze where agriculture is going.

First, changes in demand for agricultural products

With the changes of population size and structure, income level and consumption habits, the consumption of agricultural products has also changed, and the demand shows a trend of diversification and quality. In terms of the demand for planting products, ration consumption decreased significantly, and residents' consumption gradually shifted to high-value agricultural products. In terms of aquaculture products and aquatic products, the demand for high-protein products will continue to grow, and the total consumption and per capita consumption will further increase.

In the next 30 years, the demand for agricultural products will increase in terms of quantity, structure and quality, which may result in a difficult balance between overall food supply and demand. On the other hand, although population growth has declined significantly, income growth and aging will have a negative impact on agricultural consumption and agricultural production. In addition to the change in quantity, the demand for green organic agricultural products has also increased, which is hidden behind the development opportunity of multi-functional ecological agriculture, which may become a new growth point of agricultural development.

2. Changes in industrial structure

Since the proportion of agriculture in the national output value is declining, the input in agriculture also has a trend of decline. The structural transformation speed of macro economy towards non-agricultural direction will be accelerated continuously.

Improving long-term agricultural total factor productivity is an important way to solve the contradiction between the supply of limited resources and the growing demand for agricultural products. Starting from the aspects of technology, system, policy, agricultural production mode, business model, market constraints and other focal points, with economies of scale to achieve mechanization promotion, improve agricultural production efficiency, extend the agricultural industry chain, enhance the brand value of agricultural products.

Third, labor demand

From the law of economic development, the number of agricultural labor and the proportion of agriculture in social employment will continue to decline. The same is clearly true at home, where the share of the agricultural economy is declining and workers are gradually shifting to industry and services. And with the birth rate falling, there will only be fewer people interested in farming in the future.

Considering the diversity of agricultural demand and the change of agricultural structure, the development direction of agriculture in the future can only be to produce as many agricultural products as possible with a small amount of manual work, that is, facility agriculture, or smart agriculture. In terms of labor force, it is necessary to establish a mechanism to cultivate high-quality agricultural talents and enhance the social status of agricultural practitioners.

In a word, agriculture is facing multi-directional changes. While developing smart agriculture to meet the demand, it also improves the economic income of the practitioners, builds new agricultural production and management models, and builds a more scientific talent structure.