Five future development trends of modern agriculture in China

What is the future trend of Chinese agriculture? The answer is that China's agriculture will enter a rapidly accelerating transformation period. Why the transformation, what is the situation in China, what path will we take, what investment opportunities will be brought in the future, and what impact will it have on the industry?

First, let's look at the situation in China. At present, the rural employment population is declining year by year, and the urbanization rate is increasing.

Looking at the residential industrial and commercial tourism land prices are also increasing, and the increase in land costs is also an increase in agricultural costs in a sense.

Finally, at the policy level and institutional level, land transfer may be a geographical direction in the future, and land bargaining brought about by transfer will become the norm.

Second, structural changes. The increase in per capita income will bring about an increase in the demand for agricultural products, which will have some impact on the overall demand.

Third, policy support. For many years in a row, government document No. 1 has been supporting agricultural development. Therefore, policy support is also promoting the entire agricultural transformation, and the government's subsidies are gradually increasing, and people engaged in agricultural enterprises can feel that the government's support for agriculture is increasing.

So, what path should China's agriculture choose to take?

The United States and Japan went for agricultural mechanization, coupled with the chemical revolution, the biotechnology revolution, and the management revolution.

In China, the pressure is greater: the first is large population, and the second is small land area per capita. Looking at the cultivated land area and the price-to-price relationship of agricultural products, land plays a considerable role in this. If there is more land, the price will be low, and if there is less land, the price will be high. Therefore, from this analysis, China is in a trend of more people and less land, and the land is decreasing year by year.

That is why China has repeatedly pledged to ensure that 1.4 billion people take care of their own jobs. In this way, there will certainly be great restrictions on the import and export of agricultural products. We will develop modern agriculture to ensure the supply of food for our 1.4 billion people. So the development of modern agriculture is also an inevitable trend.

What are the five future trends of modern agriculture in China?

The first big trend: scale. In the past, China's agriculture was a small-scale peasant economy with relatively small production scale and low efficiency. Now the trend towards scale is very clear. The comparison between China and the United States is more obvious, indicating that there is still a big gap in the scale of agriculture between China and developed countries in the world.

The second trend: high prices. The future trend of agricultural prices is definitely high, the price of agricultural products will continue to rise in the future, and the per capita land area factor determines that the continuous price increase of agricultural products is inevitable. The cost of growing agricultural products in China is relatively high.

The third trend: branding. Provide safe food through branding. What's safe? What race? How is it processed? Brand management will be the trend in the future. If big companies don't want to do this, there may be a problem, so there will be more opportunities for branded agriculture in the future.

Fourth trend: bioagriculture. Japan basically doesn't use fertilizer anymore, and there are some strict requirements every year. Europe is more demanding, the United States is large-scale agriculture, Japan and Europe's biotechnology in fertilizer, in agriculture requirements are very high. Food security includes food security, and the use of biotechnology will increase.

Fifth trend: Equipment. Israel is very short of land resources, the land as a whole crop growth environment is relatively poor, want to do this can rely on production efficiency, rely on equipment. Large-scale agricultural production in the United States is also dependent on equipment, and some areas still use low-level small-scale small agricultural machinery, so the future of equipped agriculture will have a relatively large prospect, which is an inevitable development trend in modern agriculture.

What impact are these five trends likely to have on related industries?

First, investment in agricultural equipment will be an opportunity.

Second, biotechnology, agribusiness. For example, fertilizers, fertilizers, seeds, including aquaculture and planting biotechnology are widely used.

Third, the construction of agricultural service system. The professional service system may have a relatively great development, and there will be more and more professional service systems and professional service companies in the future.

The last one is high-tech services. Because technology is critical to the driving force of modern agriculture, a large number of high-tech enterprises will emerge and promote agricultural modernization.